Prediction marketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes60%YesNoNo41%YesNo$7M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes5.9%YesNoNo94%YesNoLIVE$2M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes25%YesNoNo75%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes7.7%YesNoNo92%YesNo$8M Vol.Polymarket
PIran closes its airspace by...?Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes100%YesNoNo0.1%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes1%YesNoNo99%YesNo$5M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes34%YesNoNo66%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes2.7%YesNoNo97%YesNo$825K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes75%YesNoNo26%YesNo$738K Vol.Polymarket
PUS-Iran deal text released by...?Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes100%YesNoNo0.1%YesNo$416K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes38%YesNoNo62%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes66%YesNoNo34%YesNo$263K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes2.9%YesNoNo97%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes4.3%YesNoNo96%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes14%YesNoNo86%YesNo$220K Vol.Polymarket
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes4.8%YesNoNo95%YesNo$916K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes3.5%YesNoNo97%YesNo$803K Vol.Polymarket
PWho will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes11%YesNoNo89%YesNo$123K Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes23%YesNoNo78%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes1.9%YesNoNo98%YesNo$700K Vol.Polymarket
Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes34%YesNoNo66%YesNo$862K Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes3.8%YesNoNo96%YesNo$665K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes1.3%YesNoNo99%YesNo$542K Vol.Polymarket
PIran closes its airspace by...?Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes100%YesNoNo0.1%YesNo$357K Vol.Polymarket