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Politics · Vance

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

$2M volume$67K 24hEnds Jun 30, 20265 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Jared Kushner 61cSteve Witkoff 55.2cJ.D. Vance 34.2cMarco Rubio 5.4cDonald Trump 1.6c
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5 outcomes
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

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hlghwayman2h ago

This historic and publicly symbolic meeting seems like a golden opportunity for Vance to garner a lot of political capital for 2028. No way he misses it if he can help it right? Vance getting cucked again? Like back in April when he got pulled from the 2nd round of talks in Pakistan that ultimately were cancelled all together.

oopslostmoney1d ago

"Axios": The delegations' meeting on Friday will be chaired by JD Vance and Qalibaf

oopslostmoney1d ago

There will be no official signing ceremony on Friday. Instead, two high-level delegations, including Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and US Vice President JD Vance, will meet in Switzerland to launch the first round of 30-day technical talks on implementation.
IM

Impure-Contagion1d ago

The requirement is for a meeting to happen - i would call that a meeting!

Kuomintang1d ago

"ScottyNooo" aka "50 p" is a scammer. Be careful when you see him

oopslostmoney1d ago

I actually like Scotty, he's quiet and doesn't manipulate anyone

Kuomintang23h ago

learn more kiddo

hlghwayman16h ago

Cap. Scotty has helped many traders either make profit or minimize losing positions.

OdinRaven2d ago

what's the story with Jared Kushner being proposed no already?
SI

SignalSeeker82d ago

Very strange. There is still a long time until 30.6 What do whales know?

OdinRaven2d ago

Might be someone trying to scam the market or trying to buy cheap shares
SI

SignalSeeker82d ago

someone stopped it😂