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Iran · Middle East

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

$916K volume$59K 24hEnds Jul 1, 20264.8c yesLive
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Hide resolved
June 15$1M Vol.No
June 12$1M Vol.No
June 8$10K Vol.No
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.

Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.

The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result

Gru216h ago

Did you even read the rules and understand what they mean???This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Noupeinnouguein13h ago

Or if a whale event tale place
FA

falherd2d ago

so this will be yes?
LA

Laurenman1d ago

Sure. Buy !!!
LA

Laurenman2d ago

Thanks to god one guy proposed.

abhionpoly2d ago

Vini!

Lavitacontinua2d ago

anyone know why the 15th june hasnt resolved yet?
DO

Dongfend17ZF2d ago

their networks usually pay out after 2-3 day, its been getting longer.......
LA

Laurenman2d ago

Someone have to propose.

beggarrr2d ago

Permanent peace deal has been applied already resolved as YES....is still ceasefire in effect.?😞😒
BE

BennyHop2d ago

This market is nothing to be interpreted in the way you are thinking. Per the rules, “ Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.” The temporary peace deal is the exact opposite of that, they are saying that, for now, there will be no hostilities.
BE

BennyHop2d ago

The market is not going to be interpreted in the way you are thinking*