OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes45%YesNoNo56%YesNo$384K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic80%YesNoOpenAI21%YesNo$34K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes11%YesNoNo89%YesNo$293K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes4%YesNoNo96%YesNo$517K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes10%YesNoNo90%YesNo$139K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes13%YesNoNo87%YesNo$208K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes7.2%YesNoNo93%YesNo$167K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes2.1%YesNoNo98%YesNo$162K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Yes14%YesNoNo87%YesNo$38K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI36%YesNoMeta64%YesNo$1K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes24%YesNoNo77%YesNo$47K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes79%YesNoNo21%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes32%YesNoNo69%YesNo$26K Vol.Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes38%YesNoNo62%YesNo$30K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes13%YesNoNo87%YesNo$80K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes44%YesNoNo56%YesNo$47K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes63%YesNoNo37%YesNo$249K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes36%YesNoNo65%YesNo$111K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Yes20%YesNoNo80%YesNo$25K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic74%YesNoOpenAI27%YesNo$171K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Yes13%YesNoNo88%YesNo$22K Vol.Polymarket
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes82%YesNoNo18%YesNo$8K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Yes12%YesNoNo89%YesNo$5K Vol.Polymarket