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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$80K volume$65.84 24hEnds Dec 31, 202613c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 13cNO 87c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
GA

gamehasyou50d ago

I would say this is a freeroll for NO. If AGI really comes this website and money wouldn’t mean anything

matteorenzi44d ago

its not about AGI creation, its about announcement, which is very different nowdays
GO

GomesUSA87d ago

NVIDIA annouced they achieved AGI, now the next's like OpenAI will follow. 100% free money..
GO

GomesUSA87d ago

Nvidia announced, no the next's will follow
EN

Energetic-Hydrocarb142d ago

We already have AGI

Thanks.138d ago

Hahahaha
JK

jkfld34107d ago

Anyone who pays taxes does, yes.
ST

StrategicAdvisor153d ago

Feels unlikely. The term 'AGI' feels quite unfashionable now in 2026. Also, Sam Altman has expressed doubts of the utility of the term, and OpenAI and Microsoft have signed new agreements saying that OpenAI can't unilaterally declare that they achieved AGI without it being vetted by a panel of experts. In any case, OpenAI's main goal now is profitability.
KE

kevtp232d ago

Would make the odds much more reliable if this was included in the 4% annual payout program for long duration markets

Thanks.233d ago

Most free 19% return I've seen so far. However, waiting for a year for this to resolve will be painful...

princessbubblegum49d ago

Half way there