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Tech · Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$310K volume$946.64 24hEnds Dec 31, 202610 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

Earbuds/Headphones 35cGlasses 32.5cClip-on device for clothing 19cWatch 15.5cPhone 13.5c

Markets

Outcome prices

10 outcomes

Phone$38K vol

13.5cSelected

Buy Yes 13.5c Buy No 86.5c

Earbuds/Headphones$111K vol

35cChance

Buy Yes 35c Buy No 65c

Glasses$47K vol

32.5cChance

Buy Yes 32.5c Buy No 67.5c

Clip-on device for clothing$25K vol

19cChance

Buy Yes 19c Buy No 81c

Watch$35K vol

15.5cChance

Buy Yes 15.5c Buy No 84.5c

Computer (Laptop/Desktop)$22K vol

12.5cChance

Buy Yes 12.5c Buy No 87.5c

Ring$5K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Head-mounted display$4K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Tablet$4K vol

10.2cChance

Buy Yes 10.2c Buy No 89.8c

Necklace$20K vol

9.5cChance

Buy Yes 9.5c Buy No 90.5c

Live

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Outcome proposed

Pending

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Dispute window

Open until resolution

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Final outcome

Awaiting official result