

Tech · IPOs
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
Winner probabilities
Outcome prices







This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Outcome proposed
PendingDispute window
Open until resolutionFinal outcome
Awaiting official result
kyrin44412h ago
2-2.5 feels overpriced here...mexesi18h ago
2-2.5 looks like a trapRazorbill.1d ago
over 3T is a joke, the logical options are between 2.0T-2,5T and 2,5T-3-0T, but i think first option is the winner. IPO goes for 160-170 usd per share that means mkt cap between 2,1-2,2T. To fall below 2T mktcap price for teh stocks should be below 151.82 usd per share. for this scenario stock must fall 20% from actual price (191). Nothing is impossible but with the FED decision its very improbable.BettingQuant1d ago
the market is heavily biased towards the upsideBettingQuant1d ago
2-2.5T is more like 50/50, we're close to a market cap of 2.5 right nowmexesi1d ago
still more than 10 days of trading left... a lot can happen. don't be in too fastmexesi1d ago
may be 3-3.5 has a good chance if the market conditions remain goodmexesi1d ago
2-2.5 and 2.5-3 should be even chance i don't get the pricing hereski56d ago
should be around 2T