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SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$626K volume$129K 24hEnds Jul 1, 20267 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
$2.0T-$2.5T 50.5c$2.5T-$3.0T 21.9c$1.5T-$2.0T 17.5c$1.0T-$1.5T 6c$3.0T-$3.5T 5c
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Outcome prices

7 outcomes
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This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
KY

kyrin44414h ago

2-2.5 feels overpriced here...

mexesi20h ago

2-2.5 looks like a trap

Razorbill.1d ago

over 3T is a joke, the logical options are between 2.0T-2,5T and 2,5T-3-0T, but i think first option is the winner. IPO goes for 160-170 usd per share that means mkt cap between 2,1-2,2T. To fall below 2T mktcap price for teh stocks should be below 151.82 usd per share. for this scenario stock must fall 20% from actual price (191). Nothing is impossible but with the FED decision its very improbable.

BettingQuant1d ago

the market is heavily biased towards the upside

BettingQuant1d ago

2-2.5T is more like 50/50, we're close to a market cap of 2.5 right now

mexesi1d ago

still more than 10 days of trading left... a lot can happen. don't be in too fast

mexesi1d ago

may be 3-3.5 has a good chance if the market conditions remain good

mexesi1d ago

2-2.5 and 2.5-3 should be even chance i don't get the pricing here
SK

ski56d ago

should be around 2T