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Tech · Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$310K volume$946.64 24hEnds Dec 31, 202610 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

Glasses 40cEarbuds/Headphones 35cClip-on device for clothing 21cWatch 15.5cPhone 13.5cTablet 10.2c

Markets

Outcome prices

10 outcomes

Tablet$4K vol

10.2cSelected

Buy Yes 10.2c Buy No 89.8c

Glasses$47K vol

40cChance

Buy Yes 40c Buy No 60c

Earbuds/Headphones$111K vol

35cChance

Buy Yes 35c Buy No 65c

Clip-on device for clothing$25K vol

21cChance

Buy Yes 21c Buy No 79c

Watch$35K vol

15.5cChance

Buy Yes 15.5c Buy No 84.5c

Phone$38K vol

13.5cChance

Buy Yes 13.5c Buy No 86.5c

Computer (Laptop/Desktop)$22K vol

12.5cChance

Buy Yes 12.5c Buy No 87.5c

Ring$5K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Head-mounted display$4K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Necklace$20K vol

9.5cChance

Buy Yes 9.5c Buy No 90.5c

Live

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Outcome proposed

Pending

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Dispute window

Open until resolution

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Final outcome

Awaiting official result