Geopolitics

Geopolitics Live

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Prediction market

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes6.3%YesNo
No94%YesNo
$36M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes8%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$8M Vol.Polymarket
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes2.6%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes5.4%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No89%YesNo
$353K Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes4.3%YesNo
No96%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$733K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes2.6%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes15%YesNo
No85%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes28%YesNo
No73%YesNo
$456K Vol.Polymarket
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes14%YesNo
No87%YesNo
$679K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes7.5%YesNo
No93%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes21%YesNo
No79%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes38%YesNo
No62%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes0.5%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$11M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes15%YesNo
No85%YesNo
$221K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Yes0.7%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Yes23%YesNo
No78%YesNo
$526K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes8.5%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$8M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes0.7%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes15%YesNo
No85%YesNo
$68K Vol.Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket