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Geopolitics · Iran Ceasefire

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

$4M volume$412K 24hEnds Jun 30, 20262 outcomesLive
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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oopslostmoney9h ago

Israel believes US pressure for a withdrawal from southern Lebanon and the Syrian Hermon will intensify.

oopslostmoney10h ago

In Jerusalem, efforts are underway to influence the agreements, but according to officials familiar with the talks, the push has so far not produced the desired outcome. Netanyahu stated today: “We will not withdraw from the security zone as long as security needs require it.” An Israeli official said: “We are trying, but I don’t think it will help.” The official added: “Ultimately, the one who decides alone is the president.”

oopslostmoney13h ago

HASBULLA: I draw the attention of the authorities to the fact that the time frame available to the enemy to withdraw from Lebanese territory entirely is two months, during which it must strictly commit to a complete cessation of hostilities on land, sea, and air, and prepare for and begin withdrawal within sixty days, without any need for direct negotiations with it at all.
AB

abdoohl15h ago

Such a relief they didnt create Israel close to where i live 🙏 🙏 🙏

oopslostmoney16h ago

VP Vance on Iran MoU: “The deal doesn’t talk about Israel getting out of southern Lebanon or not. I actually think Israel would love to get out… so long as the Hezbollah threat is gone.”

oopslostmoney19h ago

The IDF's potential withdrawal from areas of southern Lebanon is still being discussed amid direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon. The teams are expected to convene again next week.

oopslostmoney19h ago

Only in security zone now?

Mission321h ago

israel not gonna withdraw so soon

oopslostmoney1d ago

American source for the event: We reject the Iranian agent and the Israeli occupation of Lebanon ... HERE COMES MURRICA
HA

hartabarta1d ago

Gg guys

oopslostmoney1d ago

is it happening?
SC

ScaryDream1d ago

? any news