Geopolitics

Geopolitics Live

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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No89%YesNo
$353K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes2.6%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes28%YesNo
No73%YesNo
$456K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Yes0.7%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes8.5%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$8M Vol.Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$301K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes0.1%YesNo
No100%YesNo
LIVE$55K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes47%YesNo
No53%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes96%YesNo
No4.3%YesNo
LIVE$52K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes3.7%YesNo
No96%YesNo
LIVE$32K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Yes8.5%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$78K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes14%YesNo
No86%YesNo
$613K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?

Yes16%YesNo
No84%YesNo
$2K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes60%YesNo
No41%YesNo
$6K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No90%YesNo
$9K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Yes63%YesNo
No38%YesNo
$2K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Yes0.5%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$383K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Yes9.5%YesNo
No91%YesNo
$264K Vol.Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes14%YesNo
No87%YesNo
$323K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Yes1.3%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$52K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Yes71%YesNo
No30%YesNo
$619.89 Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Yes25%YesNo
No76%YesNo
$328.11 Vol.Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes2.8%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$88K Vol.Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes1.1%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$112K Vol.Polymarket