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Geopolitics · putin

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

$264K volume$625.20 24hEnds Dec 31, 20269.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 9.5cNO 90.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result

.merion1d ago

amondablack?

.nexaro1d ago

yes, its here bro

DontTrustMe94d ago

Which country people think of realistically?

Volku94d ago

any Baltic states esp. Latvia or Estonia or Russian part of Moldova - Nadniestrze
LE

leksus81d ago

what a nonsense

pjotrekkk75d ago

Estonia. Navra. most of people there are ethinc russians and it is a border city

FarAhead10d ago

Armenia, but it is not likely.

AyatollahDollar7d ago

@volku dude, going to reverse-copytrade you

Master-bettor103d ago

i believe in you russia