Back to Predictions

Tech · Big Tech

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

$129K volume$458.29 24hEnds Dec 31, 202696.1c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 96.1cNO 4c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

...

Outcome proposed

Pending
...

Dispute window

Open until resolution
...

Final outcome

Awaiting official result
PO

PoetJekyll22d ago

Additional context Updated Feb 21 Products named iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, Air, or similar variants will qualify. Products named iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, Air, or similar variants will qualify. So what are you guys betting on?🫪
DA

Dato7bet7117d ago

In this question iphone 18 pro and pro max are included? Or only 18?

Stoniye53d ago

Read the rules: A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
RO

rollix119d ago

The iPhone Pro is a product named 'iPhone,' and it is the successor to the original iPhone. The rules are written in black and white.

pup1118d ago

Its a successor to iphone but not "the original iphone"

pup1118d ago

Pretty clear

iusedtowritepoetryforaliving118d ago

The relationship between the original iPhone and the iPhone 18 Pro is not similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. Stop the nonsense.
RO

rollix118d ago

what do you mean by the original? Is it fake one or what?

ImJustBen119d ago

once clarification is added "Yes" is going to 90c again lmao

ImJustBen119d ago

iPhone 18 pro is coming out, still counts as an iPhone 18 being released btw according to the rules

iusedtowritepoetryforaliving118d ago

Stop the nonsense, the market is about the iPhone 18 model, not *any* iPhone 18 model.
RO

rollix118d ago

where is the word model in the rules? there is none. Nonsense is your attempt to manipulate the market.