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Tech · Elon Musk

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

$113K volume$1K 24hEnds Jun 30, 20268.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 8.5cNO 91.6c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
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