Tech · TikTok

Who will acquire TikTok?

$1M volume$709.78 24hEnds Dec 31, 20266 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

Amazon 0.9cWalmart 0.8cElon Musk / X (Twitter) 0.7cAppLovin 0.6cMicrosoft 0.5c

Markets

Outcome prices

6 outcomes

Elon Musk / X (Twitter)$94K vol

0.7cSelected

Buy Yes 0.7c Buy No 99.4c

Amazon$73K vol

0.9cChance

Buy Yes 0.9c Buy No 99.1c

Walmart$85K vol

0.8cChance

Buy Yes 0.8c Buy No 99.3c

AppLovin$39K vol

0.6cChance

Buy Yes 0.6c Buy No 99.4c

Microsoft$142K vol

0.5cChance

Buy Yes 0.5c Buy No 99.5c

Meta$138K vol

0.5cChance

Buy Yes 0.5c Buy No 99.5c

Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed

Dispute window

No dispute

Final outcome