Back to Predictions

Politics · US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$661M volume$1M 24hEnds Nov 7, 202835 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
J.D. Vance 38.3cMarco Rubio 23.9cTucker Carlson 6.6cRon DeSantis 2.9cDonald Trump Jr. 2.3c
Markets

Outcome prices

35 outcomes
Live

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

...

Outcome proposed

Pending
...

Dispute window

Open until resolution
...

Final outcome

Awaiting official result

makePace6718m ago

John Thune us totally undervalue!

psychicpsychic16h ago

4%!
JE

JERRY666661d ago

gogogo
JE

JERRY666661d ago

JD Vance
BT

BTCisaHarshMistress4d ago

Keep underestimating Tulsi.

cqk3d ago

Gladly
DS

dshrrt6d ago

so there is confirmaation about that project. So No is outcome. I study all documentation about this project that project paused untill trump dicision. So No 100%. Polymarket outcome proposed wrong.
55

5546yy7d ago

Combined all-time PnL of the top holders on each side of "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" — Yes $7.4M vs No -$496K

monsieurvampa9d ago

Marco Rubio is the best versus the press, he is ideal for America to influence the whole continent, he is clearly behind the initiatives against communist forces in Venezuela, and the Caribbean. He is also quite good at geopolitics, and has charisma... I think he has a very good chance.
ST

SteelQWASER11d ago

hard to see anyone clearing the field on that side right now

Nateki12d ago

uwu ekika
WE

weathyrichyrich14d ago

honestly the daily weather market bots have me questioning everything, they win nonstop while i cope. make it make sense