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Politics · Spencer Pratt

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

$464.59 volume$5.31 24hEnds --5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 5cNO 95c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count.

A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
NO

NonceChaser9d ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred during the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NO

NonceChaser9d ago

2027!