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Finance · Privates

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

$35K volume$2K 24hEnds Jul 1, 202698.1c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 98.1cNO 1.9c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for June 30, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available.

If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
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