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Geopolitics · Israel

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$154K volume$5K 24hEnds Dec 31, 20267.2c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 7.2cNO 92.8c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.

Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result

IMHO103d ago

No.