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Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

$1K volume-- 24hEnds Dec 31, 202615c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 15cNO 85c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
IL

Ilikedonuts161d ago

Came here thinking omg France only 20%? To then see the any nation bet hahaha

Zebulom162d ago

The EU isn't just one country; it’s backed by the combined power of the entire bloc's budget. Moody's just reaffirmed the Aaa Stable rating in October 2025 because they know the 'joint and several' support is legally ironclad.