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Sports · UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

$624K volume$3K 24hEnds Dec 31, 202612 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

Justin Gaethje 55.3cArman Tsarukyan 36.5cCharles Oliveira 10.1cPaddy Pimblett 4.6cBenoît Saint Denis 4cRenato Moicano 0.1c

Markets

Outcome prices

12 outcomes

Renato Moicano$1K vol

0.1cSelected

Buy Yes 0.1c Buy No 100c

Justin Gaethje$9K vol

55.3cChance

Buy Yes 55.3c Buy No 44.8c

Arman Tsarukyan$5K vol

36.5cChance

Buy Yes 36.5c Buy No 63.5c

Charles Oliveira$5K vol

10.1cChance

Buy Yes 10.1c Buy No 89.9c

Paddy Pimblett$522K vol

4.6cChance

Buy Yes 4.6c Buy No 95.5c

Benoît Saint Denis$50K vol

4cChance

Buy Yes 4c Buy No 96.1c

Max Holloway$13K vol

2.1cChance

Buy Yes 2.1c Buy No 97.9c

Ilia Topuria$14K vol

1.4cChance

Buy Yes 1.4c Buy No 98.6c

Mauricio Ruffy$1K vol

0.3cChance

Buy Yes 0.3c Buy No 99.7c

Rafael Fiziev$2K vol

0.2cChance

Buy Yes 0.2c Buy No 99.9c

Dan Hooker$1K vol

0.1cChance

Buy Yes 0.1c Buy No 100c

Mateusz Gamrot$726.08 vol

0.1cChance

Buy Yes 0.1c Buy No 100c

Live

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

OK

Outcome proposed

No

OK

Dispute window

No dispute

OK

Final outcome

No