Geopolitics

Geopolitics Live

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Prediction market

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes60%YesNo
No41%YesNo
$7M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes7.7%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$8M Vol.Polymarket
P
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes100%YesNo
No0.1%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes1%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$5M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes35%YesNo
No65%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes2.7%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$827K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes74%YesNo
No26%YesNo
$738K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes38%YesNo
No62%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes66%YesNo
No34%YesNo
$265K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes3%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes5.1%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes3.5%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$803K Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes23%YesNo
No78%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Yes1.9%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$700K Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes15%YesNo
No85%YesNo
$220K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes1.2%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$542K Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes3.8%YesNo
No96%YesNo
$665K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$447K Vol.Polymarket
P
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Yes100%YesNo
No0.1%YesNo
$357K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$525K Vol.Polymarket
P
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes100%YesNo
No0.1%YesNo
$300K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Yes1.9%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$346K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$965K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Yes0.1%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$402K Vol.Polymarket