Prediction marketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes27%YesNoNo73%YesNo$332K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes46%YesNoNo55%YesNo$28K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?Yes2.9%YesNoNo97%YesNo$14K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?Yes31%YesNoNo69%YesNo$5K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Yes4.3%YesNoNo96%YesNo$4K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Yes8%YesNoNo92%YesNo$2K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?Yes1.8%YesNoNo98%YesNo$2K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Yes11%YesNoNo89%YesNo$2K Vol.Polymarket