Back to Predictions

Elections · Colombia

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

$206K volume$14K 24hEnds Jun 22, 20265 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
de la Espriella 5-10% 46.5cde la Espriella 0-5% 25.5cde la Espriella 10-15% 12.5cCepeda Castro Win 9.5cde la Espriella 15%+ 3.5c
Markets

Outcome prices

5 outcomes
Live

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

...

Outcome proposed

Pending
...

Dispute window

Open until resolution
...

Final outcome

Awaiting official result
TA

Tan-Pedal6h ago

Miren la encuestadora Atlasintel párese como ganador Abelardo.
GI

Gifted-Divide6d ago

Quien cree que gane cepeda?
BA

BarpuL12h ago

No tiene opción en las urnas,
NO

Notable-Lye9d ago

Just redeeming thanks to tourists on X /post/status/2063934558093869379